self-custody adoption is fragmenting event-driven flows: reading the California Tribes tape
Ignoring drawdown recovery because restaking looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.
Ignoring compliance tooling because funding rates looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.
Even when feeds obsess over “California Tribes Win Order Barring Kalshi Sports Contracts on Their Lands,” the durable question remains process versus prediction.
Improvements in drawdown recovery without confirmation from restaking tend to fade faster.
Treat macro liquidity as the constraint and lending markets as the amplifier, not the other way around.
Most blow-ups start as comfortable consensus.
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